Work in progress

Gunboat Energy mod 1.68

I 5% = Adj 2.97 == 3

I 6% = adj 3.57 == 4

? 7% = adj 4.17 == 4?

I 8% = adj 4.76 == 5

? 9% = adj 5.36 == 5?

G 10 = adj 5.95 == 6

G 11% = adj 6.55 == 7

? 12% = adj 7.14 == 7?

G 13% = adj 7.74 == 8

? 14% = adj 8.33 == 8?

G 15% = adj 8.93 == 9

? 16% = adj 9.52 == 10?

G 17% = adj 10.12 == 10

? 18% = adj 10.71 == 11? never seen as a g

? 19% = adj 11.31 == 11? Never seen as a g

M 20% = adj 11.90 == 12

? 21% = adj 12.50 == 13?

? 22% = adj 13.10 == 13?

M 23% = adj 13.69 == 14

? 24% = adj 14.29 == 14?

? 25% = adj 14.88 == 15?

? 26% = adj 15.48 == 15?

M 27% = adj 16.07 == 16

? 28% = adj 16.67 == 16?

? 29% = adj 17.26 == 17?

M 30% = adj 17.86 == 18

? 31% = adj 18.45 == 18?

? 32% = adj 19.05 == 19?

? 33% = adj 19.64 == 19?

M 34% = adj 20.24 == 20

M 35% = adj 20.83 == 21

? 36% = adj 21.43 == 21?

M 37% = adj 22.02 == 22

? 38% = adj 22.62 == 23?

M 39% = adj 23.21 == 23

M 40% = adj 23.81 == 24

? 41% = adj 24.40 == 24? Confirmed seen

M 42% = adj 25 == 25

Edit Difference between adj/bonus seems to be approx 0.6 therefore 0.3 either side of adj is the range of bonus. For example gbe m37 = range adj 21.72 to 22.32 (0.6), m38 = range adj 22.32 to 22.92 (0.6) rounding still plays a part at 2 decimal places. Further note does M 42 extend from 24.7 to 25.3? Does that effect the mod or is the top masterpieces inherently rarer by only having a range of 0.3 instead of 0.6? Does that mean m41 is actually in the lower tier hence m42 being half the probability of previous tier?

Is the tier probability simply but roughly related to the number of bonus entries in the tier?

Does it also follow that all the top bonuses in idol, guardian and masterpiece are similarly restricted to just one bonus entry? Eg I8, G17 and M42 are constrained compared to other bonuses? Does that mean also that the lowest possible statues in idols, guardians and masterpieces have a larger range from the hard divides between such statues eg I5 extents from 0 to 3.27 (3.27) and M20 from 10.12 to 13.39 (3.27) encompassing M20,M21, M22? G10 from 4.76 to 6.25 (1.5)?

Edit again just did the gbe idols and it seems to match. I5 is one big range from 0 to 3.27 for tier 1. Tier 2 is I6 and I7 is from 3.27 to 4.37 and tier 3 is just I8 from 4.37 to ? Roughly equates to the stated probabilities of 57, 29, 14 respectively.

Edit again again. Bismarck was getting twice as many tier two idols as tier 1 despite the stated probabilities saying the opposite should be true. I suggest that either the original probabilities were wrong/misunderstood/miscommunicated or have changed. Tier 1 has 1 entry and tier 2 has 2 entries therefore if the ranges are actually equal (as suggested above but top tier still truncated/constrained) then you would expect twice as many tier 2 idols. Okay now I can sleep 😴🤪

Further edit and observation. The probabilities of the idols are tier 1 57%, tier 2 29%, tier 3 14%. This strangely could correspond to bonus entries per tier.

Tier 3 has one entry of 8%

Tier 2 has potentially two entries of 6% and 7%

Tier 1 has only entry of 5% but if you extrapolate that 1 entry is 14% of a total, then that total is 7 which gives 2 entries (tier 2) 29% of 7, leaving 4 of which only 1 is accounted for in tier 1 and that 4 entries is 57%. Coincidence? Probably but just throwing it out there. Might be something to do with the hard divides between tiers where statues should exist but don’t.